Global market review of hybrids and electric drive vehicles forecasts

В рубриках: Automobile | Автор: admin 05.04.2011

Global market review of hybrids and electric drive vehicles forecasts

Global market review of hybrids and electric-drive vehicles – forecasts to 2015

This is first global market review of hybrids and electric drive technology. With these sectors set to dominate alternative propulsion and the drive for better fuel efficiency over the short-term future, this report provides a timely review of the latest technologies from the main players, our analysis of market take-up and a review of the different technologies and where they are heading. Most industry analysts expect plug-in hybrids and battery-electric vehicles to follow a roughly similar growth curve, though aggressive government policies to subsidise plug-ins may increase consumer take-up by compensating for the high cost of the battery packs over the first few years. ( )

Idle-stop, or micro-hybrid systems seem likely to penetrate certain regions – especially Europe – quite rapidly over the next five years.

So how fast will hybrids, plug-ins and electric vehicles increase their total share over the next few years? For example, we believes through its three forecast scenarios, that conventional (‘full’ or power-split) hybrids such as the archtetypal Toyota Prius will represent anything between 3% and 8% of global light vehicle production by 2015. Plug-in vehicles will take a much lower share, split among: pure battery-electrics (with ranges of up to 200 miles); plug-in hybrids (PHEVs); and extended-range EVs (‘series’ hybrids). This report provides production volume estimates and percentage market shares from 2008 to 2015 for hybrid and plug-in technologies across three scenarios: “battery skeptical”; “moderate”; and “uber-green”.
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